| 我国犯罪预测及其研究的现状、问题与发展趋势——对“中国知网”的内容分析 |
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| 引用本文：赵军.我国犯罪预测及其研究的现状、问题与发展趋势——对“中国知网”的内容分析[J].湖南大学学报社会科学版,2011,(3):155-160 |
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| 中文摘要:对“中国知网”犯罪预测论文的内容分析显示，我国犯罪预测及其研究的滞后主要体现在三方面：一是技术准备不足，预测方法落后；二是预测目的错位，脱离实务需求；三是缺乏时代视野，与犯罪预测的主流趋势脱节。相应地，改进预测方法和技术，强化犯罪预测与犯罪控制实务的联系，紧跟犯罪预测的国际主流，是我国犯罪预测发展的应然趋势。 |
| 中文关键词:犯罪预测 现状 问题 趋势 |
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| Content Analysis of Crime Prediction in China |
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| Abstract:Content analysis of treatises on crime prediction in CNKI reveals that there are mainly three causes for the backward situation of crime prediction in China. Firstly，the method for crime prediction in China is obsolete as a whole；Secondly， most part of these crime predictions are not designed properly for crime control practice；Thirdly，lacking contemporary views，large part of them cannot conform to main trends of the times in the field of crime prediction. Therefore，improving the method for crime prediction，intensifying relation between crime prediction and crime control practice，and conforming to international trends in this field should be the way in which the level of crime prediction may be raised. |
| keywords:crime prediction current situation problem tendency |
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