财政分权对民生福祉的影响研究——基于中国面板数据的实证检验
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引用本文:陈黎明1,刘 悦2,龙灵芝1,禹定航1.财政分权对民生福祉的影响研究——基于中国面板数据的实证检验[J].湖南大学学报社会科学版,2023,(1):66-77
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陈黎明1,刘 悦2,龙灵芝1,禹定航1 (1.湖南大学 金融与统计学院湖南 长沙 4100792.湖南工学院 商学院湖南 衡阳 421200) 
中文摘要:中国经济已由高速增长转向高质量发展,而民生建设方面仍存在一些薄弱环节。财政分权符合效率优先、兼顾公平的原则,有利于实现社会福利最大化。一般均衡分析表明财政分权与民生福祉之间呈“倒U型”关系。以2007-2018年中国省级面板数据为样本,运用病态指数循环分析法和熵权法构建民生福祉综合指数,采用固定效应面板回归模型和面板分位数回归模型对“倒U型”关系进行实证检验。研究发现,财政分权对民生福祉的影响具有阶段差异性和区域异质性,中央财政对地方的一般性转移支付能够强化财政分权对民生福祉的改善作用。在确定财政分权水平时,应合理考虑地方经济发展水平,有效配置公共资源,实现财政分权效益最大化,从而增进民生福祉。
中文关键词:财政分权  民生福祉  面板分位数回归  病态指数
 
Research on the Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on People’s Welfare——An Empirical Test Based on Chinese Panel Data
Abstract:Chinese economy has shifted from high-speed growth to high-quality development, but there are still some weak links in improving people’s livelihood. Fiscal decentralization accords with the principle of giving priority to efficiency and giving consideration to fairness, which is conducive to realizing the maximization of social welfare. General equilibrium analysis shows that fiscal decentralization has an inverted U-shaped relationship with people’s welfare. Taking Chinese provincial panel data from 2007 to 2018 as samples, the circle ill-condition index analysis method and entropy weight method were used to construct the comprehensive index of people’s welfare, and the fixed-effect panel regression model and panel quantile regression model were established to empirically test the inverted U-shaped relationship. The research shows that the impact of fiscal decentralization on people’s welfare is of stage difference and regional heterogeneity, and the general transfer payments from the central government to local governments can strengthen the improvement effect of fiscal decentralization on people’s welfare. When determining the level of fiscal decentralization, local economic development level should be reasonably considered, public resources should be effectively allocated, the benefits of fiscal decentralization should be maximized, and people’s welfare should be effectively improved.
keywords:fiscal decentralization  people’s welfare  panel quantile regression  ill-condition index
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