“一带一路”国家需求对中国能源强度的影响
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引用本文:陈黎明1,赵元元2,谢锐3.“一带一路”国家需求对中国能源强度的影响[J].湖南大学学报社会科学版,2025,(2):55-67
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作者单位
陈黎明1,赵元元2,谢锐3 (1.湖南大学 金融与统计学院湖南 长沙 4100792.齐齐哈尔大学 经济与管理学院黑龙江 齐齐哈尔 1610063.湖南大学 经济与贸易学院湖南 长沙 410079) 
中文摘要:采用全球多区域投入产出模型和多区域乘性结构分解分析模型对“一带一路”国家需求对中国能源强度的影响进行分析。研究发现:“一带一路”国家需求对中国能源强度的拉动作用高于国内需求的拉动作用,且“一带一路”国家需求对中国能源强度的贡献在样本期间内有所增长,其主要原因是“一带一路”国家对中国的最终需求显著增长。在国家层面,印度、泰国、新加坡、马来西亚、印度尼西亚、俄罗斯、越南、土耳其、波兰、沙特阿拉伯等对中国能源强度的贡献较大。建筑业,纺织业,电机与机械业,教育、卫生与其他服务业是“一带一路”国家需求影响中国能源强度的主要渠道。中国能源强度在样本期间内大幅下降,部门能源强度效应是驱动其下降的主要力量,而国内和“一带一路”国家的最终需求效应,以及“一带一路”国家的投入产出结构效应对中国能源强度的下降具有抑制作用。
中文关键词:一带一路  能源强度  投入产出  乘性结构分解分析
 
The Impact of “Belt and Road” Countries’ Demand on China’s Energy Intensity
Abstract:This paper uses the global multi-regional input-output model and the multi-regional multiplicative structure decomposition analysis model to analyze the impact of “Belt and Road” country demand on China’s energy intensity. The study found that the “Belt and Road” country demand has a higher pulling effect on China’s energy intensity than domestic demand, and the contribution of “Belt and Road” country demand to China’s energy intensity increased during the sample period. The main reason is that the final demand for China from the “Belt and Road” countries has increased significantly. At the national level, India, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Russia, Vietnam, Turkey, Poland, and Saudi Arabia have greater contribution to China’s energy intensity. Construction, textiles and wearing apparel, electrical and machinery, education, health and other services are the main channels through which the “Belt and Road” countries’ demand affects China’s energy intensity. Besides, China’s energy intensity dropped significantly during the sample period, and the sectoral energy intensity effect is the main force driving its decline. While the domestic and the “Belt and Road” countries’ final demand effect, and the “Belt and Road” countries’ input-output structure effect have an inhibitory effect on the China’s energy intensity decline.
keywords:Belt and Road  energy intensity  input-output  multiplicative structural decomposition analysis
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